Table 4 Results for the base case scenario and combination prevention scenarios with three different rates of TasP
From: Investigating zero transmission of HIV in the MSM population: a UK modelling case study
Base casea | Combination prevention | Combination prevention, 98% TasP | Combination prevention, 99% TasP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Year zero transmission is reached | NR | NR | NR | 2030 |
Additional HIV cases over the model time horizon | 105,586 | 73,166 | 65,405 | 56,617 |
Cases avoided, compared with the base case scenario, over the time horizon | N/A | 32,420 | 40,181 | 48,969 |
Lifetime risk of acquiring HIV for HIV-negative MSM not using PrEP | 13.65% | 9.55% | 8.61% | 7.53% |