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Table 2 Predictive value of MCI compared to cognitively normal or depressed for the emergence of dementia within a period of two years

From: Progression and improvement after mild cognitive impairment

     

Predictive value

 

Numbers

Sensitivity

Specificity

PPV

NPV

Relative risk

Baseline MCI

yes

no

     

Demented at follow-up

yes

no

yes

no

     

MCI versus normal

9

15

15

95

38

(20-59)

86

(78-92)

38

(20-59)

86

(78-92)

2.75

(1.37-5.53)

MCI versus normal or depressed

9

15

20

112

31

(16-51)

88

(81-93)

38

(20-59)

85

(77-90)

2.48

(1.29-4.77)

  1. PPV = positive predictive value
  2. NPV = negative predictive value