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Table 3 The effects of age, period and cohort on cervical cancer mortality (adjusted for non-specified uterine cancers) estimated from a full Bayesian APC model

From: Description of cervical cancer mortality in Belgium using Bayesian age-period-cohort models

Age effect α ^ a

Estimates

95% Confidence Interval

20-24

0.13

0.06, 0.23

25-29

1.03

0.81, 1.30

30-34

3.43

2.98, 3.95

35-39

7.79

7.05, 8.61

40-44

14.32

13.13, 15.64

45-49

21.48

19.69, 23.43

50-54

26.76

24.26, 29.43

55-59

28.93

25.87, 32.20

60-64

32.88

28.90, 37.15

65-69

36.01

31.09, 41.30

70-74

40.89

34.71, 47.70

75-79

49.55

41.18, 58.67

80-84

58.73

47.80, 70.80

Period effect β ^ p

1954-1958

1.00

1.00, 1.00

1959-1963

0.97

0.92, 1.03

1964-1968

0.74

0.70, 0.79

1969-1973

0.67

0.62, 0.73

1974-1978

0.56

0.51, 0.61

1979-1983

0.47

0.43, 0.53

1984-1988

0.43

0.38, 0.49

1989-1993

0.37

0.32, 0.43

1994-1998

0.32

0.27, 0.38

Cohort effect γ ^ c

1869-1878

1.04

0.84, 1.31

1874-1883

1.00

0.84, 1.21

1879-1888

0.89

0.76, 1.06

1884-1893

0.91

0.79, 1.05

1889-1898

0.97

0.86, 1.10

1894-1903

0.99

0.89, 1.10

1899-1908

1.01

0.92, 1.10

1904-1913

0.98

0.90, 1.06

1909-1918

1.03

0.96, 1.11

1914-1923

1.05

0.98, 1.12

1919-1928

1.00

1.00, 1.00

1924-1933

0.76

0.69, 0.82

1929-1938

0.62

0.56, 0.69

1934-1943

0.64

0.56, 0.73

1939-1948

0.81

0.70, 0.93

1944-1953

0.82

0.69, 0.96

1949-1958

0.91

0.74, 1.10

1954-1963

1.08

0.85, 1.34

1959-1968

1.01

0.75, 1.35

1964-1973

1.11

0.77, 1.62

1969-1978

0.98

0.64, 1.47