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Table 3 Parameter estimates of the selected ARIMA model for APS intakes (# of observations = 53)

From: Applying time series modeling to assess the dynamics and forecast monthly reports of abuse, neglect and/or exploitation involving a vulnerable adult

 

Phase 1: January 2015 to January 2016 (22 counties)

Phase 2: May 2017 to November 2017 (24 counties)

 

Parameter

Estimate

Standard Error

P-value

Estimate

Standard Error

P-value

Lag

MA1,1

0.552

0.115

< 0.0001

0.695

0.116

< 0.0001

1

AR1,1

0.561

0.117

< 0.0001

0.343

0.142

0.016

12

Hub

0.279

0.089

0.001

0.043

0.015

0.004

0

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Archives of Public Health

ISSN: 2049-3258