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Table 3 Parameter estimates of the selected ARIMA model for APS intakes (# of observations = 53)

From: Applying time series modeling to assess the dynamics and forecast monthly reports of abuse, neglect and/or exploitation involving a vulnerable adult

 Phase 1: January 2015 to January 2016 (22 counties)Phase 2: May 2017 to November 2017 (24 counties) 
ParameterEstimateStandard ErrorP-valueEstimateStandard ErrorP-valueLag
MA1,10.5520.115< 0.00010.6950.116< 0.00011
AR1,10.5610.117< 0.00010.3430.1420.01612
Hub0.2790.0890.0010.0430.0150.0040