Fig. 2

Predicted COVID-19 incidence (1 March 2020 – 1 June 2021, Belgium) from the negative binomial regression in function of the area deprivation index quintile (Q1-Q5). Q1 represents the least deprived quintile, Q5 the most deprived quintile. Municipality-specific population size was used as an offset variable and we controlled for the median age per municipality and degree of urbanization in the regression model