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Volume 73 Supplement 1

Methods in Epidemiology Symposium

Selecting the embryo with the highest implantation potential using developmental and morphometric scoring.

Embryo selection has been based on developmental and morphological characteristics. However, the presence of an important intra-and inter-observer variability in the microscopic evaluation of standard scoring system (SSS) has been reported. A golden standard for selection of embryos on day 3 is currently lacking. New technology using multilevel images combined with a computer-assisted scoring system (CASS) has the potential to overcome most of these disadvantages associated with the SSS.

The aim of this study was to construct a multivariable prediction model, with data mining approaches, and compare the predictive performance of models in SSS and CASS. A total of 871 single embryo transfers between 2008 and 2013 were included. Embryos were evaluated with two scoring systems: SSS and CASS. Prediction models were developed using multivariable logistic regression (LR) and multivariate adaptive regression splines (MARSplines). The prediction models were externally validated with a test set of 109 single transfers between January and June 2014. Results showed that prediction of implantation was superior using CASS when compared with SSS. With CASS, two final prediction model were obtained using LR and MARSplines, which showed moderate discriminative capacity (c-statistic 0.64 and 0.69 respectively) on validation data. The findings of this study show that combination of computer-assisted scoring system and machine learning based prediction method is a promising approach for in the selection of embryo with the highest implantation potential.

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Correspondence to Fang Chen.

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This article is published under license to BioMed Central Ltd. This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited. The Creative Commons Public Domain Dedication waiver (http://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/) applies to the data made available in this article, unless otherwise stated.

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Chen, F., Debrock, S., Peeraer, K. et al. Selecting the embryo with the highest implantation potential using developmental and morphometric scoring.. Arch Public Health 73, P48 (2015). https://doi.org/10.1186/2049-3258-73-S1-P48

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Keywords

  • Prediction Model
  • Embryo Transfer
  • Multivariate Adaptive Regression Spline
  • Mining Approach
  • Regression Spline