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Table 2 ARIMA models and selection criteria

From: Applying time series modeling to assess the dynamics and forecast monthly reports of abuse, neglect and/or exploitation involving a vulnerable adult

 Phase 1: January 2015 to January 2016 (22 counties)Phase 2: May 2017 to November 2017 (24 counties)
ARIMA
Model
AICSBCR2MSELjung_Box
p-value
AICSBCR2MSELjung_Box
p-value
p(12); q = 1;
d = 1
−74.22−68.310.860.0130.47−51.13−45.220.810.0200.09
p = 0; q (1) (12);
d = 1
- 70.94−65.030.850.0140.42−49.52−43.610.810.0200.05
p (1) (12); q = 0;
d = 1
−74.61−68.700.860.0130.16−44.19−38.280.780.0230.004