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Table 6 The multilevel Weibull regression analysis of individual and community level predictors of under-five mortality in East Africa

From: Incidence and predictors of under-five mortality in East Africa using multilevel Weibull regression modeling

Variable

Null model

Model 1 (AHR with 95% CI)

Model 2(AHR with 95% CI)

Model 3 (AHR with 95% CI)

Maternal age

 15–24

 

1

 

1

 25–34

 

0.94 (0.88, 1.01)

 

0.95 (0.89, 1.01)

  ≥ 35

 

1.13 (1.03, 1.23)

 

1.13 (1.04, 1.24)*

Maternal education status

 No

 

1

 

1

 Primary

 

1.04 (0.98, 1.11)

 

1.06 (0.99, 1.13)

 Secondary and above

 

0.81 (0.74, 0.88)

 

0.83 (0.75, 0.91)*

Husband education status

 No

 

1

 

1

 Primary

 

1.03 (0.96, 1.11)

 

1.03 (0.96, 1.11)

 Secondary and above

 

1.00 (0.92, 1.08)

 

1.03 (0.95, 1.12)

Media exposure

 Yes

 

1

 

1

 No

 

1.10 (1.05, 1.17)

 

1.13 (1.07, 1.20)*

Birth outcome

 Single

 

1

 

1

 Multiple

 

3.87 (3.57, 4.18)

 

3.81 (3.52, 4.12)*

Sex of child

 Male

 

1.23 (1.18, 1.29)

 

1.27 (1.21, 1.33)*

 Female

 

1

 

1

Birth size

 Average

 

1

 

1

 small

 

1.69 (1.60, 1.79)

 

1.73 (1.63, 1.84)*

 Large

 

1.15 (1.08, 1.22)

 

1.11 (1.04, 1.17)*

Birth order

 First

 

1

 

1

 2–4

 

0.61 (0.56, 0.67)

 

0.62 (0.56, 0.67)*

  ≥ 5

 

0.68 (0.61, 0.76)

 

0.68 (0.61, 0.76)*

Place of delivery

 Home

 

1

 

1

 Health facility

 

0.95 (0.90, 1.01)

 

0.87 (0.82, 0.93)*

Mode of delivery

 Vaginal

 

1

 

1

 Caesarean section

 

1.06 (0.96, 1.17)

 

1.09 (0.99, 1.21)

Number of ANC visit

 No visit

 

1

 

1

 1–3

 

0.61 (0.54, 0.68)

 

0.61 (0.54, 0.68)*

  ≥ 4

 

1.01 (0.90, 1.13)

 

1.02 (0.91, 1.14)

Preceding birth interval (in months)

  < 24

 

1

 

1

 24–48

 

0.54 (0.51, 0.58)

 

0.53 (0.50, 0.57)*

  ≥ 49

 

0.50 (0.46, 0.54)

 

1.02 (0.91, 1.14)

Wanted birth

 No

 

1

 

1

 Yes

 

0.68 (0.65, 0.72)

 

0.72 (0.68, 0.76)*

Wealth status

 Poorest

 

1

 

1

 Poorer

 

0.98 (0.91, 1.04)

 

0.95 (0.89, 1.02)

 Middle

 

0.93 (0.86, 1.01)

 

0.90 (0.83, 0.97)*

 Richer

 

0.99 (0.91, 1.06)

 

0.93 (0.86, 1.01)

 Richest

 

0.89 (0.82, 0.98)

 

0.81 (0.73, 0.90)*

Women health care decision making autonomy

 Respondent alone

 

1

 

1

 Jointly with husband/partner

 

1.07 (1.01, 1.15)

 

1.06 (0.99, 1.14)

 Husband/partner alone

 

1.13 (1.06, 1.21)

 

1.15 (1.07, 1.23)*

Residence

 Rural

  

1.12 (1.05, 1.18)

0.95 (0.89, 1.03)

 Urban

  

1

1

Country

 Rwanda

  

1

1

 Burundi

  

1.43 (1.25, 1.64)

1.23 (1.06, 1.44)*

 Ethiopia

  

1.57 (1.37, 1.81)

1.01 (0.84, 1.19)

 Kenya

  

1.12 (0.98, 1.28)

0.79 (0.68, 0.91)*

 Comoros

  

1.08 (0.87, 1.33)

0.66 (0.53, 0.83)*

 Madagascar

  

1.49 (1.30, 1.71)

1.10 (0.95, 1.28)*

 Malawi

  

1.25 (1.09, 1.49)

1.07 (0.91, 1.25)

 Mozambique

  

1.97 (1.73, 2.26)

1.42 (1.21, 1.66)*

 Tanzania

  

1.35 (1.17, 1.55)

1.01 (0.86, 1.20)

 Uganda

  

1.38 (1.21, 1.57)

0.98 (0.84, 1.16)

 Zambia

  

1.27 (1.11, 1.47)

1.02 (0.86, 1.22)

 Zimbabwe

  

1.43 (1.22, 1.68)

1.20 (1.01, 1.45)*

Distance to health facility

 Not a big problem

  

1

1

 A big problem

  

1.03 (0.98, 1.09)

0.98 (0.93, 1.03)

 VPC

0.11

0.08

0.09

0.07

 LR test

LR test vs. Weibull model: chibar2(01) = 27.11 Prob > = chibar2 = 0.0000

LR test vs. Weibull model: chibar2(01) = 20.46 Prob > = chibar2 = 0.0000

LR test vs. Weibull model: chibar2(01) = 22.93 Prob > = chibar2 = 0.0000

LR test vs. Weibull model: chibar2(01) = 17.87 Prob > = chibar2 = 0.0000

 Deviance

85,876.04

83,370.89

85,648.85

83,211.55

  1. * P-value < 0.05, ** p-value < 0.01, ANC Antenatal Care, VPC Variance Partition Coefficient, LR Likelihood Ratio